In Macbeth, Shakespeare described his moving-target, things-are-not-what-they-seem Birnam Wood. Gainesville has its own version, the “People Would”.
Like Bigfoot, no one has ever seen this mystical “People Would”, but pundits and politicians have routinely used it to justify all sorts of exciting and insane infrastructural meddling, from downtown parking to bicycle lanes to roundabouts, sales tax increases, bus routes, Wal-Mart placement, East side development… the list goes on.
The problems come when the predicted actions of the “People Would” don’t match up with what the actions the predictor would personally take– especially when the predictor is trying to get “revenue” out of the “People Would”, acting as though that money wasn’t coming out of your pocket and mine.
My favorite is the list of (mostly futile) actions taken to increase bicycle traffic in the city. “If we narrow the streets…”, “If we charge for parking…”, “If we lengthen the wait at stop lights…”, “If we install (hideously expensive) bicycle lanes…”, “If we create a ‘Rails To Trails’ across the area…”, “If we had a ‘Yellow Bike’ system…”
“…then ‘People Would’ ride their bicycles more often, reducing traffic and pollution and America’s dependence on oil and All Sorts Of Other Good Stuff™.”
But the damn “People Would” won’t cooperate.
Possibly that’s because of a certain elephant in the room called Common Sense– for example, the six months out of the year when it’s too insanely muggy to ride to work, or the two months out of the year when it’s too insanely cold, or the distributed two months when it’s raining (insanely, of course).
The two months when it’s nice enough, “People Would” might indeed ride its collective bicycles– or just walk. The rest of the year, it had better get the roadways it paid its taxes for, or else it might start demanding a refund.
Bottom line is, the few of the “People Would” who ride anyway, would and do ride. The rest of the “People Would” don’t, for the wholly valid reasons stated above and others.
Some other great examples of the predicted actions of “People Would” not matching reality?
“‘People Would’ be willing to pay an increased tax to support (insert supposedly popular pet project)”. (Common Sense Reality: History says, no, the “People Would” not– having shut down tax proposals at the polls year after year. Even when the Judiciary put its knee on the community’s throat and said, “You WILL build us a new courthouse”, the “People Would” was looking for ways out of it.)
“If we eliminate free parking downtown and create garages, ‘People Would’ be willing to provide a new revenue stream.” (Common Sense Reality: Or, more likely, ‘People Would’ just go to the mall, where parking is free and usually plentiful– the plan thereby backfiring, with downtown merchants taking the punishment.)
“If we make the traffic lights as inefficient as we possibly can, causing backups, gridlock and delays; then pass insanely high traffic ticket rates on red-light runners, and pipe those revenues to some vital-sounding pet pork like ‘Trauma Center Funding’, then the ‘People Would’ not recognize what we’re doing and form a lynch mob.” (Common Sense Reality: You guys are so busted.)